I did build a scenario where the 6th Fleet faces off against the 5th Eskadra in 1973, resulting in a slow escalation to nuclear war, including the launching of SS11's from the Urals. But it got a bit big, and ive never actually got around to releasing it because you need something like a supercomputer to run it.
That's a hell of range for a wire guided MCLOS ATGW
The MRV version was very interesting. I guess they got a longer wire.
lets not pretend the Russians reinforcing the area is going to be much easier with Nato special forces busting all the railway bridges and railway lines. They have railway troops for a reason, its their greatest vulnerability.
I think you are grossly overestimating potential of special forces here - especially taking into account amount of explosives needed to significantly damage big railroad bridge is counted in hundreds of kilograms, way above backpack cargo of small group on foot. But what is the need to carry all this heavy loads on foot in XXI century, when they could be delivered with tens of centimeters accuracy by cruise missile or drone?
Still, i do not see anybody providing plausible scenario for Russia to attack and capture Baltics, the land even local population is not exactly happy with. More pine forests and cold swamps? Thank you, we allready have our own stretching for 11 timezones
You don't need to blow up bridges, you just put a contact detonator on the rail, and blow track up as a train rolls over it. (nothing to stop you doing it on a bridge, for added mayhem). You may not destroy the contents of the train, but there is certainly going to be a logjam whilst they straighten it all out. This is precisely how SOE and the French Resistance operated in WW2, which delayed the arrival of some divisions from the south of France until long past the decision point had been made.
There was an interesting example of some French resistance that infiltrated a marshalling yard, and messed up the oil in the axle boxes of some flatbed rolling stock that was due to carry 2SS Panzer Division to Normandy. They were no longer available so they had to drive all the way up from the south of france. They were attritted by SOE and special forces on the way which increased the delay. There was few casualties, it just slowed everything up.
Yes, cruise missiles would work. But why expend a cruise missile on a target where you know where it is day after day, and can be interdicted by a single guy with a backpack? A lot cheaper, simpler, and just as much potential to work in the 21st Century. Till someone figures out to protect railway lines 24/7 with drones anyway.
The politics doesn't interest me. The potential does. After Ukraine and Georgia there is potential, and to be honest that is all the worries me.