Oh.. that's in the red sea this one.
Tanker War Redux
Posted 11 October 2019 - 0538 AM
Well, there is a lot of water in the world. They need to reflect on the idea that they can dominate the Gulf, but they arent even a bit player in the rest of the worlds oceans, as the Grace 1 fiasco and this one somewhat illustrates.
I suppose the most likely culpret is the Saudi's, it would be a nice payback for the attack on the oil refinery. Somewhat ballsy for them though.
Posted 11 October 2019 - 1400 PM
They have an ally there with a record of proven capability ...
Posted 11 October 2019 - 2114 PM
Posted 12 October 2019 - 2243 PM
Posted Yesterday, 07:40 AM
Could be, but I think the safe money is on a Saudi-Iranian détente. The Saudis were no doubt shocked at the reaction in the progressive West to the murder of Khashoggi, and then shocked again at Trump's reaction to the refinery attack. They'll probably cool down the situation with Iran while building bridges to Russia and China. On a related note, Putin is in the Kingdom seemingly pitching that exact message. For the Iranian part, they're much better off reaching an accomodation with the Saudis than fighting them.
Edited by glenn239, Yesterday, 07:41 AM.
Posted Today, 11:14 AM
It may be too soon to tell, but it looks as if the Iranians have chalked up the missile attack on its tanker as a face-saving gesture on the part of the Saudis, and are treating it as such.
This would indeed represent movement toward de-escalation.
Posted Today, 11:16 AM
Posted Today, 11:48 AM
That probably is not going to sit well with the Iranians, but it may be a reality they will have to deal with from now on.
The question is whether time is on their side or not.
Posted Today, 01:38 PM
Definitely a situation for Japan and Japanese to monitor, as there may be value in learning from the experiences of those currently involved in it.
Edited by Nobu, Today, 01:43 PM.